Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 153.036765 175.311897 200.233843 230.281836 265.657334 306.137379 356.188082
2025-11-02 122.708180 151.580579 186.838072 233.443221 293.996166 370.785306 476.776745
2025-11-09 105.578406 137.432332 178.794345 237.196669 318.761908 430.482427 598.328223
2025-11-16 92.420046 125.334575 170.194241 236.973263 335.891368 480.322234 713.462984
2025-11-23 82.338720 115.565890 162.741392 236.216471 350.754169 527.674975 832.257533
2025-11-30 75.100053 108.670857 158.106585 238.312844 369.320302 582.523182 972.543730
2025-12-07 66.628360 98.848436 147.741178 229.804660 369.205045 606.355439 1063.513337
2025-12-14 60.809014 92.367692 141.641265 227.076189 377.811326 645.609833 1189.362154
2025-12-21 56.995065 88.583661 139.296925 230.090942 396.439862 705.156025 1366.082758
2025-12-28 54.954461 87.407060 140.995052 240.121539 428.927939 795.597994 1625.745455
2026-01-04 52.346601 84.996161 140.290011 245.642943 453.558966 874.642214 1879.281647
2026-01-11 48.809441 80.654844 135.762032 243.460908 462.640065 923.120946 2073.964805
2026-01-18 46.405894 78.394568 135.278440 250.105044 493.200084 1028.837589 2451.887842
2026-01-25 43.711043 75.395655 133.211988 253.584495 518.312281 1129.365844 2854.206400
2026-02-01 41.388077 72.819903 131.609728 257.714771 545.529973 1241.002948 3326.906315
2026-02-08 38.810363 69.499532 128.179547 257.468914 562.644546 1331.676580 3772.157555
2026-02-15 36.439435 66.341580 124.714776 256.636088 578.188133 1421.975802 4251.833065
2026-02-22 34.612856 64.069703 122.786458 258.943178 601.887892 1540.215771 4874.614119
2026-03-01 31.873358 59.738381 116.162808 249.581692 594.156125 1567.798994 5187.641245
2026-03-08 29.955823 56.911154 112.439137 246.580657 602.745570 1645.907296 5727.068627
2026-03-15 28.731422 55.402800 111.393651 249.896603 629.163174 1785.744503 6581.639151
2026-03-22 28.193084 55.278141 113.358070 260.933918 679.523895 2016.860975 7953.597616
2026-03-29 27.305614 54.328443 113.371539 267.012425 716.767437 2215.561010 9300.305976